Members

IRP 04
WP1
WP2
WP3

Zhongli
Wang

Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Individual Research Project 04
Bayesian estimation of agent-based models
Research interests:
computational economics; financial market
Publications
2022 / Dongshuai Zhao, Zhongli Wang, Florian Schweizer-Gamborino, Didier Sornette
Polytope Fraud Theory

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?ab
underlying repository data



IRP 09
WP2

Martina
Maglicic

Universiteit van Amsterdam (UvA)
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
Individual Research Project 09
Identifying optimal conditions for creating stable future electricity markets
Research interests:
complex systems, public policy, behavioural science.
Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.
IRP 03
WP1
WP2

Matthieu
Bulté

Københavns Universitet (UCPH)
Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Individual Research Project 03
Time-series of functional data
Research interests:
time-series, functional data analysis, mathematical statistics.
Publications
2024 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
An Autoregressive Model for Time Series of Random Objects

arxiv.org/abs/2405.03778
underlying repository data: https://github.com/matthieubulte/GAR



2023 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Medoid splits for efficient random forests in metric spaces

https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.17
underlying repository data:
https://github.com/matthieubulte/MetricRandomFore



IRP 01
WP1
WP2
WP3

Qingchuan
Sun

Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Københavns Universitet (UCPH)
Individual Research Project 01
Statistical inference for state-space diffusion processes

Research interests:
diffusion process, state-space model and biostatistics.

Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.
IRP 05
WP1
WP2

Tommaso
Di Francesco

Universiteit van Amsterdam (UvA)
Università Ca’ Foscari, Venezia (UNIVE)
Individual Research Project 05
Expectation formation and machine learning

Research interests:
behavioral macroeconomics, bounded rationality, expectation formation and machine learning, heterogeneous agent modelling.

Publications
2025 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Daniel Torren Peraire
(Mis)information diffusion and the financial market
arxiv.org/abs/2412.16269

2023 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Cars Hommes
Sentiment-Driven Speculation in Financial Markets with Heterogeneous Beliefs: a Machine Learning approach

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4429858
underlying repository data:
https://github.com/TommasoDF/Repo https://uvaauas.figshare.com/articles/dataset/BiTSI/25428238/1



IRP 07
WP2

Rosa
van den Ende

ESR Delegate

Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)
Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Individual Research Project 07
Network-based measures of climate risks and liabilities

Research interests:
game theory, network analysis, microeconomics, allocation models, carbon emissions, climate risk. 

Publications
2023 / Rosa van den Ende, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Network-based allocation of responsibility for GHG-emissions

underlying repository data: 
https://github.com/rosavandenende/Network-based-allocation-of-responsibility-for-GHG-emissions 
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4430393 



IRP 14
WP3

Debmallya
Chanda

Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Individual Research Project 14
Financial innovation and monetary policy in a complex environment
Research interests:
financial innovation, monetary policy, agent-based modeling.
Publications
2023 / Aldo Glielmo, Marco Favorito, Debmallya Chanda, Domenico Delli Gatti
Combining search strategies to improve performance in the calibration of economic ABMs

arxiv.org/pdf/2302.11835.pdf
underlying repository data: https://github.com/bancaditalia/black-it/blob/main/examples/RL_to_combine_search_methods.ipynb 



IRP 13
WP3

Miquel
Bassart i Lore

Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)
Individual Research Project 13
Picking the winners? The role of public investment for technological change
Research interests:
post-keynesian economics & evolutionary economics, non-equilibrium modeling, industrial economics and innovation processes, macroeconomic finance and financial institutions.
Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.
IRP 12
WP2
WP3

Nurten
Kaynarca

Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Individual Research Project 12
The dynamics of innovation in production networks
Research interests:
microeconomics, industrial economics, network analysis.
Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.
IRP 10
WP2
WP3

Daniel
Torren Peraire

Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
Università Ca’ Foscari, Venezia (UNIVE)
Individual Research Project 10
Modelling the evolution of low-carbon lifestyles

Research interests:
agent-agent-based modelling, cultural evolution, social networks, climate policy, sustainability transitions, based modelling, cultural evolution, social networks, climate policy, sustainability transitions.

Publications
01 02
2025 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Daniel Torren Peraire
(Mis)information diffusion and the financial market
arxiv.org/abs/2412.16269

2023 / Daniel Torren Peraire, Ivan Savin, Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh
An agent-based model of cultural change for a low-carbon transition
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4344035
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/Culture-Network

2024 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Ivan Savin and Jeroen van den Bergh
An Agent-Based Model of Cultural Change for a Low-Carbon Transition Journal of Artificial Societies ans Social Simulation, 27(1) 13
 https://www.jasss.org/27/1/13.html

IRP 11
WP2
WP3

Elisa
Grugni

Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Individual Research Project 11
Modelling the interaction of information provision and carbon pricing to encourage a low-carbon transition

Research Interests:

agent-based modelling, green ecomomy, global value chains and trade network.

 

Publications
2025 / Elisa Grugni, Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Carbon leakage in production networks under asymmetric climate policies
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5053379

IRP 15
WP2
WP3

Franziska
Tinnefeld

Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Universiteit van Amsterdam (UvA)
Individual Research Project 15
Innovation and sustainable growth
Research interests:
economic geography, macroeconomics, international trade, environment and development, innovation and patent data analysis.
Publications
2023 / Franziska Tinnefeld
Decomposing the Effect of GVCs on Innovation
ssrn.com/abstract=4349779
underlying repository data: https://figshare.com/s/1d1800ba9e4ed13d0d1f

2025 / Franziska Tinnefeld, Julia Swart, Elena Fumagalli
The green knowledge space: Climate change mitigation technologies in developing countries Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 55, 100944
 doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2024.100944
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