Members

Enrica De Cian

Supervisor IRP 08 / 10

Università Ca’ Foscari
Venezia
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP08  / WP2 / WP3
To reduce or to modify?
Adapting energy use to deal with climate change

SUPERVISOR IRP10  / WP2 / WP3
Modelling the evolution of low-carbon lifestyles

Publications
2025 / Catarina Midões, Enrica De Cian
Heat and well-being in the Old Continent
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5192770

2023 / Catarina Midões, Enrica De Cian, Malcolm Mistry, Giacomo Pasini, Sara Pesenti
Advancing our knowledge of the environment- wellbeing relationship
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4481445

2024 / Catarina Midões, Enrica De Cian, Giacomo Pasini, Sara Pesenti, and Malcolm N. Mistry
SHARE-ENV: A Data Set to Advance Our Knowledge of the Environment–Wellbeing Relationship Environ. Health, 2, 95-104
 https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/envhealth.3c00065

2023 / Francesco Pietro Colelli, Ian Sue Wing, Enrica De Cian
Air-conditioning adoption and electricity demand highlight climate change mitigation–adaptation tradeoffs Scientific Reports, Article number: 4413 (2023)
 nature.com/articles/s41598-023-31469-z

2023 / Francesco Pietro Colelli, Ian Sue Wing, Enrica De Cian
Intensive and extensive margins of the peak load: Measuring adaptation with mixed frequency panel data Energy Economics, Vol. 126
 sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988323004218

2021 / Pavanello, F., E. De Cian, M. Davide, M. Mistry, T. Cruz, P. Bezerra, D. Jagu, S. Renner, R. Schaeffer, A.F.P. Lucena
Air-conditioning and the adaptation cooling deficit in emerging economies Nature Communications, Vol. 12, Art.-Nr. 6460
 doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26592-2

2022 / Colelli, F.P., J. Emmerling, G. Marangoni, M.N. Mistry, E. De Cian
Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways Nature Communications, Vol. 13, Art.-Nr. 4964
 doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32471-1

Luca Vittorio Angelo Colombo

Supervisor IRP 11

Università Cattolica
del Sacro Cuore
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP11  / WP2 / WP3
Modelling the interaction of information provision and carbon pricing to encourage a low-carbon transition

Publications
01 02 03
2024 / Laura Abrardi, Luca Colombo, Piero Tedeschi
Pretending Ignorance Is Bliss: Competing Insurers with Heterogeneous Informational Advantages The Review of Financial Studies
 doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae079

2024 / Luca Colombo, Michele Grillo, Aldo Pignataro
Collusion under decreasing returns to scale Journal of Industrial and Business Econom
 10.1007/s40812-024-00338-9

2023 / Luca Colombo, Herbert Dawid, Philipp Harting
R&D location in dynamic industry environments Journal of Economic Geography, Vol. 24, Iss. 1, 41-62
 doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbad024

2016 / Colombo L. and H. Dawid
Complementary Assets, Start-Ups and Incentives to Innovate International Journal of Industrial Organization, Vol. 44, 177-190
 abs/pii/S0167718715001204

2014 / Colombo, L., G. Femminis and A. Pavan
Information Acquisition and Welfare The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 81, 1438–1483
 core.ac.uk/display/22581619

2014 / Colombo, L. and H. Dawid
Strategic Location Choice under Dynamic Oligopolistic Competition and Spillovers Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 48, 288-307
 v48y2014icp288-307

Herbert Dawid

Supervisor IRP 04 / 13 / 14
Network Coordinator

Universität
Bielefeld
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP04  / WP1 / WP2 / WP3
Bayesian estimation of agent-based models

SUPERVISOR IRP13  / WP3
Picking the winners?
The role of public investment for technological change

SUPERVISOR IRP14  / WP3
Financial innovation and monetary policy in a complex environment

Publications
2023 / Luca Colombo, Herbert Dawid, Philipp Harting
R&D location in dynamic industry environments Journal of Economic Geography, Vol. 24, Iss. 1, 41-62
 doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbad024

2024 / Nick F. D. Huberts, Xingang Wen, Herbert Dawid, Kuno J. M. Huisman, Peter M. Kort
Double Marginalization Because of External Financing: Capacity Investment Under Uncertainty MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, ISSN 1526-5501 (online), 1-19
 doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01152

2023 / Alessandro Basurto, Herbert Dawid, Philipp Harting, Jasper Hepp, Dirk Kohlweyer
How to design virus containment policies? A joint analysis of economic and epidemic dynamics under the COVID-19 pandemic Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Vol. 18, 311-370
 doi.org/10.1007/s11403-022-00369-2

2024 / Herbert Dawid, Dirk Kohlweyer, Melina Schleef, Christian Stummer
The Role of Uncertainty for Product Announcement Strategies: The Case of Autonomous Vehicles Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), Vol. 0, 1-39
 10.1628/jite-2024-0027

2024 / Dawid H., Di X., Kort P.M., Muehlheusser G.
Autonomous vehicles policy and safety investment: An equilibrium analysis with endogenous demand Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Vol. 182
 doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2024.102908

2023 / Dawid H, Keoula MY, Kopel M, Kort PM
Dynamic Investment Strategies and Leadership in Product Innovation European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 306, Issue 1, 431-447
 doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2022.06.046

2023 / Dawid H, Neugart M
Effects of Technological Change and Automation on Industry Structure and (Wage-)Inequality: Insights from a Dynamic Task-Based Model Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 33, 35–63
 pub.uni-bielefeld.de/record/2967084

2022 / Dawid H, Muehlheusser G
Smart Products: Liability, Investments in Product Safety, and the Timing of Market Introduction Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 134, Art.-Nr. 104288
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104288

2022 / Dawid H, Hepp J
Distributional Effects of Technological Regime Changes: Hysteresis, Concentration and Inequality Dynamics Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Vol. 3, 137–167
 doi.org/10.1007/s43253-021-00052-5

2019 / Dawid H., P. Harting and S. van der Hoog
Manager Remuneration, Share Buybacks and Firm Performance Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol. 28, 681-706
 indcch/v28y2019i3p681-706

2018 / Dawid, H., P. Harting and M. Neugart
Cohesion Policy and Inequality Dynamics: Insights from a Heterogeneous Agents Macroeconomic Model Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 150, 220-255
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2018.03.015

2018 / Dawid, H. and D. Delli Gatti
Agent-based Macroeconomics Handbook of Computational Economics, Vol. 4, 63-156
 doi.org/10.1016/bs.hescom.2018.02.006

2016 / Colombo L. and H. Dawid
Complementary Assets, Start-Ups and Incentives to Innovate International Journal of Industrial Organization, Vol. 44, 177-190
 abs/pii/S0167718715001204

2014 / Colombo, L. and H. Dawid
Strategic Location Choice under Dynamic Oligopolistic Competition and Spillovers Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 48, 288-307
 v48y2014icp288-307

Domenico Delli Gatti

Supervisor IRP 04 / 14
Coordinator

Università Cattolica
del Sacro Cuore
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP04  / WP1 / WP2 / WP3
Bayesian estimation of agent-based models

SUPERVISOR IRP14  / WP3
Financial innovation and monetary policy in a complex environment

Publications
2023 / Aldo Glielmo, Marco Favorito, Debmallya Chanda, Domenico Delli Gatti
Combining search strategies to improve performance in the calibration of economic ABMs

arxiv.org/pdf/2302.11835.pdf
underlying repository data: https://github.com/bancaditalia/black-it/blob/main/examples/RL_to_combine_search_methods.ipynb 



2023 / Aldo Glielmo, Marco Favorito, Debmallya Chanda, Domenico Delli Gatt
Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs ICAIF '23: 4th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, 305-313
 doi.org/10.1145/3604237.3626889

2022 / Domenico Delli Gatti, Severin Reissl
Agent-Based Covid economics (ABC): Assessing non-pharmaceutical interventions and macro-stabilization policies Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol. 31, 410-447
 doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtac002

2021 / Gabriele Tedeschi, David Vidal-Tomás, Domenico Delli-Gatti, Mauro Gallegati
The macroeconomic effects of default and debt restructuring: An agent based exploration International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 76, 1146-1163
 doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2021.08.003

2021 / Domenico Delli Gatti, Elisa Grugni
Breaking bad: supply chain disruptions in a streamlined agent-based model The European Journal of Finance, Vol. 28, 1446-1473
 doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.1963300

2020 / Delli Gatti, D. and J. Grazzini
Rising to the challenge: Bayesian estimation and forecasting techniques for macroeconomic Agent Based Models Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Vol. 178, 875-902
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2020.07.023

2019 / Assenza, T and D. Delli Gatti
The financial transmission of shocks in a simple hybrid macroeconomic agent based model Journal of Evolutionary Economics,  Vol. 29, 265–297
 10.1007/s00191-018-0559-3

2018 / Dawid, H. and D. Delli Gatti
Agent-based Macroeconomics Handbook of Computational Economics, Vol. 4, 63-156
 doi.org/10.1016/bs.hescom.2018.02.006

2018 / Assenza, T.,  P. Colzani, D. Delli Gatti and J Grazzini
Does fiscal policy matter? Tax, transfer, and spend in a macro ABM with capital and credit Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol. 27 (6), 1069–1090
 doi.org/10.1093/icc/dty017

Pietro Dindo

Università Ca’ Foscari
Venezia
EPOC Assignments
Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.

Cees Diks

Supervisor IRP 09
Coordinator

Universiteit
van Amsterdam
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP09  / WP2
Identifying optimal conditions for creating stable future electricity markets

Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.

Susanne Ditlevsen

Supervisor IRP 01 / 02
Coordinator

Universitet
København
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP01  / WP1 / WP2 / WP3
Statistical inference for state-space diffusion processes

SUPERVISOR IRP02  / WP1 / WP2
Multivariate responses, dependence structures and partial observations

Publications
2025 / Mads Peter Heide-Jørgensen, Philippine Chambault, Helle Sørensen, Camilla Andresen, Susanne Ditlevsen, Qingchuan Sun
Narwhals document atlantification of East Greenland


2025 / Qingchuan Sun, Susanne Ditlevsen
Robust Parameter Estimation in Dynamical Systems by Stochastic Differential Equations


2024 / Susanne Ditlevsen, Predrag Pilipovic, Adeline Samson
Strang Splitting for Parametric Inference in Second-order Stochastic Differential Equations
arxiv.org/abs/2405.03606 / repository dataset

2022 / Susanne Ditlevsen, Predrag Pilipovic, Adeline Samson
Parameters Estimation In Nonlinear Multivariatre Stochastic Differential Equations Based On Splitting Schemes
arxiv.org/abs/2211.11884
underlying repository data

2025 / Predrag Pilipovic, Adeline Samson, Susanne Ditlevsen
Strang splitting for parametric inference in second-order stochastic differential equations Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Vol. 187
 doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2025.104650

2024 / Jacob Stærk-Østergaard, Anders Rahbek, Susanne Ditlevsen
High-Dimensional Cointegration and Kuramoto Inspired Systems SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Vol. 23, Iss. 1 (2024)
 doi.org/10.1137/22M1509771

2024 / Predrag Pilipovic, Adeline Samson, Susanne Ditlevsen
Parameter estimation in nonlinear multivariate stochastic differential equations based on splitting schemes The Annals of Statistics, Vol. 52, No. 2, 842-867
 projecteuclid.org/journals/annals-of-statistics/volume-52/issue-2/Parameter-estimation-in-nonlinear-multivariate-stochastic-differential-equations-based-on/10.1214/24-AOS2371.full?tab=ArticleLink

2023 / Peter Ditlevsen, Susanne Ditlevsen
Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation Nature Communications, 14 Art. No.: 4254
 nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39810-w

2020 / Ruse, M.G., A. Samson and S. Ditlevsen
Inference for biomedical data by using diffusion models with covariates and mixed effects Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C: Applied Statistics, Vol. 69, Issue 1, 167-193
 doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12386

2020 / Heide-Jørgensen, M.P., S. Blackwell, T. Williams, M.H.S. Sinding, M. Skovrind, O.M. Tervo, E. Garde, R. Hansen, N.H. Nielsen, M.C. Ngo and S. Ditlevsen
Some like it cold: Temperature dependent habitat selection by narwhals Ecology and Evolution, Vol. 10(15), 8073 - 8090
 doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6464

2019 / Ngo, M.C., M.P. Heide-Jørgensen and S. Ditlevsen
Understanding narwhal diving behaviour using Hidden Markov Models with dependent state distributions and long range dependence PLoS Computational Biology, 15(3): e1006425
 doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006425

2019 / Ditlevsen, S. and A.Samson
Hypoelliptic diffusions: discretization, filtering and inference from complete and partial observations Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B, 81(2), 361-384
 arXiv:1707.04235

Manuel Förster

Supervisor IRP 07

University
Bielefeld
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP07  / WP2
Network-based measures of climate risks and liabilities

Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.

Christiane Fuchs

Supervisor IRP 01
Co-Supervisor IRP 02 / 03 / 04

University
Bielefeld
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP01  / WP1 / WP2 / WP3
Statistical inference for state-space diffusion processes

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP02  / WP1 / WP2
Multivariate responses, dependence structures and partial observations

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP03  / WP1 / WP2
Time-series of functional data

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP04  / WP1 / WP2 / WP3
Bayesian estimation of agent-based models

Publications
01 02 03
2022 / Pieschner S., Hasenauer J., Fuchs C.
Identifiability analysis for models of the translation kinetics after mRNA transfection Journal of Mathematical Biology, Vol. 84, Art.-Nr. 56
 doi.org/10.1007/s00285-022-01739-x

2023 / Contento L., Castelletti N., Raimúndez E., Le Gleut R., Schälte Y., Stapor P., Hinske LC., Hoelscher M., Wieser A., Radon K., Fuchs C.
Integrative modelling of reported case numbers and seroprevalence reveals time-dependent test efficiency and infection rates Epidemics, Vol. 43, Art.-Nr. 100681
 doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2023.100681

2020 / Pieschner S. and C. Fuchs
Bayesian inference for diffusion processes: using higher-order approximations for transition densities Royal Society Open Science, Vol. 7, Issue 10
 doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200270

2019 / Hibbah, E.H., H. El Maroufy, C. Fuchs and T. Ziad
An MCMC computational approach for a continuous time state-dependent regime switching diffusion process JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, Vol. 47, Issue 8, 1354-1374
 doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2019.1677573

2019 / El Omari M., H. El Maroufy and C. Fuchs
Non parametric estimation for fractional diffusion processes with random effects STATISTICS, Vol. 53 (4), 753-769
 doi/full/10.1080/02331888.2019.1581783

Michel Grabisch

Supervisor IRP 06

Université Paris 1
Panthéon-Sorbonne
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP06  / WP1 / WP2
Mental models, disruption and repair

Publications
01 02 03
2024 / Michel Grabisch, M. Alperen Yasar
Frequentist belief update under ambiguous evidence in social networks

ssrn.com/abstract=4715241
underlying repository data: https://gitlab.com/alpy-dev/belief-update 



2024 / Michel Grabisch, M. Alperen Yasar
Frequentist belief update under ambiguous evidence in social networks International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, Vol. 172 (109240)
 doi.org/10.1016/j.ijar.2024.109240

2023 / Michel Grabisch, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
On the Design of Public Debate in Social Networks Operations Research, Vol. 71 (2), 626-648
 doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.2356

2020 / Grabisch, M. and F. Li
Anti-conformism in the threshold model of collective behavior Dynamic Games and Applications, Vol. 10(2), 444-477
 doi:10.1007/s13235-019-00332-0

2019 / Grabisch, M., A. Poindron and A. Rusinowska
A model of anonymous influence with anti-conformist agents Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 109, Art.-Nr. 103773
 2019:i:c:s0165188919301708

2017 / Grabisch, M., A. Mandel, A. Rusinowska and E. Tanimura
Strategic influence in social networks Mathematics of Operations Research, Vol. 43, 29-50
 doi:10.1287/moor.2017.0853

Cars Hommes

Supervisor IRP 05

Universiteit
van Amsterdam
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP05  / WP1 / WP2
Expectation formation and machine learning

Publications
01 02
2021 / Hommes, C.
Behavioral and Experimental Macroeconomics and Policy Analysis: A Complex Systems Approach Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 59(1), 149–219
 DOI: 10.1257/jel.20191434

2020 / Bao, T., M. Hennequin, C. Hommes and D. Massaro
Coordination on bubbles in large-group asset pricing experiments Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 110, Art.-Nr. 103702
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2019.05.009

2019 / Cornea-Madeira, A., C. Hommes and D. Massaro
Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Vol. 37(2), 288-300
 doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2017.1321548

2019 / Hommes, C. and J. Lustenhouwer
Inflation targeting and liquidity traps under endogenous credibility Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 107, 48-62
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.027

Roland Langrock

Supervisor IRP 02
Co-Supervisor IRP 01 / 03

University
Bielefeld
EPOC Assignments
CO-SUPERVISOR IRP01  / WP1 / WP2 / WP3
Statistical inference for state-space diffusion processes

SUPERVISOR IRP02  / WP1 / WP2
Multivariate responses, dependence structures and partial observations

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP03  / WP1 / WP2
Time-series of functional data

Publications
01 02
2020 / McClintock, B.T. , R. Langrock, O. Gimenez, E. Cam, D. L. Borchers, R. Glennie and T.A. Patterson
Uncovering ecological state dynamics with hidden Markov models arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.10497
 arxiv.org/abs/2002.10497

2020 / Pohle, J., R. Langrock, M. van der Schaar, R. King and F.H. Jensen
A primer on coupled state-switching models for multiple interacting time series arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.14700
 arxiv.org/pdf/2004.14700

2018 / van Beest, F.M. S. Mews, S. Elkenkamp, P. Schuhmann, D. Tsolak, T. Wobbe, V. Bartolino, F. Bastardie, R. Dietz, C. von Dorrien, A. Galatius, O. Karlsson, B. McConnell, J. Nabe-Nielsen, M.T. Olsen, J. Teilmann and R. Langrock
Classifying grey seal behaviour in relation to environmental variability and commercial fishing activity-a multivariate hidden Markov model Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, (1), 5642
 s41598-019-42109-w

Marco LiCalzi

Supervisor IRP 06

Università Ca’ Foscari
Venezia
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP06  / WP1 / WP2
Mental models, disruption and repair

Publications
01 02
2024 / Marco LiCalzi, M. Alperen Yasar
Vocabulary aggregation
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4902792

2019 / LiCalzi, M. and R. Mühlenbernd
Categorization and Cooperation across Games Games, Vol. 10, 5
 doi:10.3390/g10010005

2016 / LiCalzi, M. and N. Maagli
Bargaining over a common categorisation Synthese, Vol. 193, 705-723
 doi:10.1007/s11229-015-0790-5

Maria Luisa Mancusi

Supervisor IRP 12 / 15

Università Cattolica
del Sacro Cuore
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP12  / WP2 / WP3
The dynamics of innovation in production networks

SUPERVISOR IRP15  / WP2 / WP3
Innovation and sustainable growth

Publications
01 02
2020 / Corrocher N., G. Cecere and M. L. Mancusi
Financial constraints and public funding of eco-innovation: Empirical evidence from European SMEs Small Business Economics, Vol. 54, 285-302
 doi.org/10.1007/s11187-018-0090-9

2018 / Conti C., M.L. Mancusi, R. Sestini, F. Sanna Randaccio and E. Verdolini
Transition Towards a Green Economy in Europe: Innovation and Knowledge Integration in the Renewable Energy Sector Research Policy, Vol. 47, n. 10, 1996-2009
 DOI:10.1016/j.respol.2018.07.007

2008 / Mancusi M.L.
International Spillovers and Absorptive Capacity: A Cross-Country Cross-Sector Analysis Based on Patents and Citations Journal of International Economics, Vol. 76, n. 2
 DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2008.06.007

Antoine Mandel

Supervisor IRP 12 / 13 / 15
Coordinator

Université Paris 1
Panthéon-Sorbonne
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP12  / WP2 / WP3
The dynamics of innovation in production networks

SUPERVISOR IRP13  / WP3
Picking the winners?
The role of public investment for technological change

SUPERVISOR IRP15  / WP2 / WP3
Innovation and sustainable growth

Publications
01 02 03
2023 / Rosa van den Ende, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Network-based allocation of responsibility for GHG-emissions

underlying repository data: 
https://github.com/rosavandenende/Network-based-allocation-of-responsibility-for-GHG-emissions 
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4430393 



2021 / Antoine Mandel, Timothy Tiggeloven, Daniel Lincke, Elco Koks, Philip Ward, Jochen Hinkel
Risks on global financial stability induced by climate change: the case of flood risks Springer Nature, Climate Change, Vol. 166, Iss. 4
 springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-021-03092-2

2023 / Michel Grabisch, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
On the Design of Public Debate in Social Networks Operations Research, Vol. 71 (2), 626-648
 doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.2356

2019 / Gualdi, S. and A. Mandel
Endogenous growth in production networks Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Vol. 29(1), 91-117
 doi:10.1007/s00191-018-0552-x

2018 / Halleck-Vega, S., A. Mandel and K. Millock
Accelerating diffusion of climate-friendly technologies: A network perspective Ecological Economics, Vol. 152, 235-245
 doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.05.007

2017 / Grabisch, M., A. Mandel, A. Rusinowska and E. Tanimura
Strategic influence in social networks Mathematics of Operations Research, Vol. 43, 29-50
 doi:10.1287/moor.2017.0853

Fabrizio Panebianco

Co-Supervisor IRP 12

Università Cattolica
del Sacro Cuore
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP12  / WP2 / WP3
The dynamics of innovation in production networks

Publications

NO PUBLICATIONS SO FAR.

Paolo Pellizzari

Co-Supervisor IRP 05 / 06
Coordinator

Università Ca’ Foscari
Venezia
EPOC Assignments
CO-SUPERVISOR IRP05  / WP1 / WP2
Expectation formation and machine learning

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP06  / WP1 / WP2
Mental models, disruption and repair

Publications
01 02 03
2025 / Luca Gerotto, Paolo Pellizzari, Marco Tolotti
Fleeting extinction? Unraveling the persistence of noise traders in financial markets with learning and replacement Journal of Evolutionary Economics
 10.1007/s00191-025-00892-y

2024 / Sarah Mignot, Paolo Pellizzari und Frank Westerhoff
Fake News and Asset Price Dynamics Journal of Economics and Statistics
 doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-2024-0019

2022 / Rosario Maggistro, Paolo Pellizzari, Elena Sartori, Marco Tolotti
Dangerous tangents: an application of Γ-convergence to the control of dynamical systems Decisions in Economics and Finance, Vol. 45, 451-480
 springer.com/article/10.1007/s10203-022-00372-z

2020 / Donadelli, M., I. Gufler and P. Pellizzari
The macro and asset pricing implications of rising Italian uncertainty: Evidence from a novel news-based macroeconomic policy uncertainty index Economics Letters, Vol. 197, Art.-Nr. 109606
2019 / Liuzzi, D., P. Pellizzari and M. Tolotti
Fast traders and slow price adjustments: an artificial market with strategic interaction and transaction costs Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Vol. 14, 643–662
 doi.org/10.1007/s11403-018-0233-8

2018 / Moro, A. and P. Pellizzari
A computational model of labor market participation with health shocks and bounded rationality Knowledge and Information Systems, Vol. 54, 617–631
 doi.org/10.1007/s10115-017-1096-3

Agnieszka Rusinowska

Supervisor IRP 07

Université Paris 1
Panthéon-Sorbonne
EPOC Assignments
CO-SUPERVISOR IRP07  / WP2
Network-based measures of climate risks and liabilities

Publications
2023 / Rosa van den Ende, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Network-based allocation of responsibility for GHG-emissions

underlying repository data: 
https://github.com/rosavandenende/Network-based-allocation-of-responsibility-for-GHG-emissions 
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4430393 



2024 / René van den Brink, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Degree centrality, von Neumann–Morgenstern expected utility and externalities in networks European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 319, Issue 2 (2024)
 doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2024.06.042

2023 / Michel Grabisch, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
On the Design of Public Debate in Social Networks Operations Research, Vol. 71 (2), 626-648
 doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.2356

2020 / Van Den Brink, R., D. Dimitrov and A. Rusinowska
Winning coalitions in plurality voting democracies Social Choice and Welfare, Vol. 56, 509–530
 springer.com/article/10.1007/s00355-020-01290-y

2020 / Van den Brink, R. and A. Rusinowska
The degree ratio ranking method for directed graphs European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 288(2), 563-575
 doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2020.06.013

2019 / Grabisch, M., A. Poindron and A. Rusinowska
A model of anonymous influence with anti-conformist agents Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 109, Art.-Nr. 103773
 2019:i:c:s0165188919301708

2017 / Grabisch, M., A. Mandel, A. Rusinowska and E. Tanimura
Strategic influence in social networks Mathematics of Operations Research, Vol. 43, 29-50
 doi:10.1287/moor.2017.0853

Ivan Savin

Supervisor IRP 09
Co-Supervisor IRP 08 / 10 / 11

Universitat Autònoma
de Barcelona
EPOC Assignments
CO-SUPERVISOR IRP08  / WP2 / WP3
To reduce or to modify?
Adapting energy use to deal with climate change

SUPERVISOR IRP09  / WP2
Identifying optimal conditions for creating stable future electricity markets

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP10  / WP2 / WP3
Modelling the evolution of low-carbon lifestyles

CO-SUPERVISOR IRP11  / WP2 / WP3
Modelling the interaction of information provision and carbon pricing to encourage a low-carbon transition

Publications
2025 / Elisa Grugni, Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Carbon leakage in production networks under asymmetric climate policies
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5053379

2024 / Pablo Nunez Yebra, Jeroen van den Bergh, Ivan Savin, Jozsef Zsiros
Conditions and pathways for a climate club to reach a more ambitious global treaty
researchsquare.com/article/rs-4124770/v1

2024 / Catarina Midões, Jeroen van den Bergh, Ivan Savin
A meta-analysis of synergy between carbon pricing and renewable-energy policies
doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4763473

2023 / Daniel Torren Peraire, Ivan Savin, Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh
An agent-based model of cultural change for a low-carbon transition
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4344035
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/Culture-Network

2024 / Victor Sarto i Monteys, Ivan Savin, Glòria Torras Tutusaus, Mònica Bedós Balsach
New evidence on the spread in Catalonia of the invasive longhorn beetle, Xylotrechus chinensis, and the efficacy of abamectin control Scientific Reports, 14, 26754 (2024)
 doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78265-x

2024 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Ivan Savin and Jeroen van den Bergh
An Agent-Based Model of Cultural Change for a Low-Carbon Transition Journal of Artificial Societies ans Social Simulation, 27(1) 13
 https://www.jasss.org/27/1/13.html

2022 / Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Tired of climate targets? Shift focus of IPCC scenarios from emission and growth targets to policies Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, Vol. 1517, Issue 1, 5-10
doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14900


2023 / Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh , Ivan Savin 
Political leadership, climate policy, and renewable energy PNAS, Vol. 120, No. 14
 doi.org/10.1073/pnas.230129112

2022 / Ivan Savin, Felix Creutzig, Tatiana Filatova, Joël Foramitti, Théo Konc, Leila Niamir, Karolina Safarzynska, Jeroen van den Bergh
Agent-based modeling to integrate elements from different disciplines for ambitious climate policy WIRE's Climate Change, Vol. 14, Issue 2
 doi.org/10.1002/wcc.811

2021 / Maestre, S., S. Drews, I. Savin, J. van den Bergh
Carbon tax acceptability with information provision and mixed revenue uses Nature Communications, Vol. 12, Art.-Nr. 7017
 doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27380-8

2021 / van den Bergh, J., and I. Savin
Impact of carbon pricing on low‑carbon innovation and deep decarbonisation: Controversies and path forward Environmental and Resource Economics, Vol. 80, 705-715
 doi.org/10.1007/s10640-021-00594-6

2021 / Foramitti, J., I. Savin, and J. van den Bergh
Regulation at the source? Comparing upstream and downstream climate policies Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Vol. 172, Art.-Nr. 121060
 doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121060

2021 / van den Bergh, J., Castro, J., S. Drews, F. Exadaktylos, J. Foramitti, F. Klein, T. Konc and I. Savin
Designing an effective climate-policy mix: Accounting for instrument synergy Climate Policy, Vol. 21(6), 745-764
 doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2021.1907276

2021 / Foramitti, J., I. Savin and J. van den Bergh
Emission tax vs. permit trading under bounded rationality and dynamic markets Energy Policy, Vol. 148, Part B, 112009
 doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112009 

2021 / Konc T., I. Savin and J. van den Bergh
The social multiplier of environmental policy: application to carbon taxation Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 105
 https://www.sciencedirect.com/

2020 / Castro J., Drews S., Exadaktylos F., Foramitti J., Klein F., Konc T., Savin I. and van den Bergh J.
A review of agent-based modelling of climate-energy policy WIREs Climate Change, Vol. 11, Issue 4
 doi.org/10.1002/wcc.647

2020 / Foramitti J., Savin I. and J. van den Bergh
Emission tax vs. permit trading under bounded rationality and dynamic markets Energy Policy, Vol. 148, Art.-Nr. 112009
 doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112009

2019 / Konc T. and I. Savin
Social reinforcement with weighted interactions Physical Review, E 100, 022305
 https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.100.022305

Helle Sørensen

Supervisor IRP 03

Universitet
København
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP03  / WP1 / WP2
Time-series of functional data

Publications
01 02 03
2025 / Mads Peter Heide-Jørgensen, Philippine Chambault, Helle Sørensen, Camilla Andresen, Susanne Ditlevsen, Qingchuan Sun
Narwhals document atlantification of East Greenland


2025 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Isotropic randomization for one-sample testing in metric spaces
arxiv.org/abs/2501.15945

2024 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
An Autoregressive Model for Time Series of Random Objects

arxiv.org/abs/2405.03778
underlying repository data: https://github.com/matthieubulte/GAR



2023 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Medoid splits for efficient random forests in metric spaces

https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.17
underlying repository data:
https://github.com/matthieubulte/MetricRandomFore



2020 / Heide-Jørgensen, M.P., S. Blackwell, T. Williams, M.H.S. Sinding, M. Skovrind, O.M. Tervo, E. Garde, R. Hansen, N.H. Nielsen, M.C. Ngo and S. Ditlevsen
Some like it cold: Temperature dependent habitat selection by narwhals Ecology and Evolution, Vol. 10(15), 8073 - 8090
 doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6464

2019 / Ngo, M.C., M.P. Heide-Jørgensen and S. Ditlevsen
Understanding narwhal diving behaviour using Hidden Markov Models with dependent state distributions and long range dependence PLoS Computational Biology, 15(3): e1006425
 doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006425

Jeroen van den Bergh

Supervisor IRP 08 / 10 / 11
Coordinator

Universitat Autònoma
de Barcelona
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP08  / WP2 / WP3
To reduce or to modify?
Adapting energy use to deal with climate change

SUPERVISOR IRP10  / WP2 / WP3
Modelling the evolution of low-carbon lifestyles

SUPERVISOR IRP11  / WP2 / WP3
Modelling the interaction of information provision and carbon pricing to encourage a low-carbon transition

Publications
2025 / Elisa Grugni, Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Carbon leakage in production networks under asymmetric climate policies
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5053379

2024 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Jeroen van den Bergh, Ivan Savin
The cultural multiplier of climate policy

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5006004
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/The_cultural_multiplier  



2024 / Pablo Nunez Yebra, Jeroen van den Bergh, Ivan Savin, Jozsef Zsiros
Conditions and pathways for a climate club to reach a more ambitious global treaty
researchsquare.com/article/rs-4124770/v1

2024 / Catarina Midões, Jeroen van den Bergh, Ivan Savin
A meta-analysis of synergy between carbon pricing and renewable-energy policies
doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4763473

2023 / Daniel Torren Peraire, Ivan Savin, Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh
An agent-based model of cultural change for a low-carbon transition
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4344035
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/Culture-Network

2024 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Ivan Savin and Jeroen van den Bergh
An Agent-Based Model of Cultural Change for a Low-Carbon Transition Journal of Artificial Societies ans Social Simulation, 27(1) 13
 https://www.jasss.org/27/1/13.html

2022 / Lewis C. King, Jeroen van den Bergh
Sugar taxation for climate and sustainability goals Nature Sustainability, Vol. 5, 899–905
 doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00934-4

2022 / Karolina Safarzyńska, Jeroen C J M van den Bergh
ABM-IAM: optimal climate policy under bounded rationality and multiple inequalities Environmental Research, Vol. 17, Number 9
 doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac8b25

2022 / Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Tired of climate targets? Shift focus of IPCC scenarios from emission and growth targets to policies Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, Vol. 1517, Issue 1, 5-10
doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14900


2023 / Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh , Ivan Savin 
Political leadership, climate policy, and renewable energy PNAS, Vol. 120, No. 14
 doi.org/10.1073/pnas.230129112

2022 / Ivan Savin, Felix Creutzig, Tatiana Filatova, Joël Foramitti, Théo Konc, Leila Niamir, Karolina Safarzynska, Jeroen van den Bergh
Agent-based modeling to integrate elements from different disciplines for ambitious climate policy WIRE's Climate Change, Vol. 14, Issue 2
 doi.org/10.1002/wcc.811

2021 / Maestre, S., S. Drews, I. Savin, J. van den Bergh
Carbon tax acceptability with information provision and mixed revenue uses Nature Communications, Vol. 12, Art.-Nr. 7017
 doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27380-8

2021 / van den Bergh, J., and I. Savin
Impact of carbon pricing on low‑carbon innovation and deep decarbonisation: Controversies and path forward Environmental and Resource Economics, Vol. 80, 705-715
 doi.org/10.1007/s10640-021-00594-6

2021 / Foramitti, J., I. Savin, and J. van den Bergh
Regulation at the source? Comparing upstream and downstream climate policies Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Vol. 172, Art.-Nr. 121060
 doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121060

2021 / Exadaktylos, F., and J. van den Bergh
Energy-related behaviour and rebound when rationality, self-interest and willpower are limited Nature Energy, Vol. 6(12), 1104-1113
 doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00889-4

2021 / van den Bergh, J., Castro, J., S. Drews, F. Exadaktylos, J. Foramitti, F. Klein, T. Konc and I. Savin
Designing an effective climate-policy mix: Accounting for instrument synergy Climate Policy, Vol. 21(6), 745-764
 doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2021.1907276

2021 / Foramitti, J., I. Savin and J. van den Bergh
Emission tax vs. permit trading under bounded rationality and dynamic markets Energy Policy, Vol. 148, Part B, 112009
 doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112009 

2021 / Konc T., I. Savin and J. van den Bergh
The social multiplier of environmental policy: application to carbon taxation Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 105
 https://www.sciencedirect.com/

2020 / Castro J., Drews S., Exadaktylos F., Foramitti J., Klein F., Konc T., Savin I. and van den Bergh J.
A review of agent-based modelling of climate-energy policy WIREs Climate Change, Vol. 11, Issue 4
 doi.org/10.1002/wcc.647

2020 / Foramitti J., Savin I. and J. van den Bergh
Emission tax vs. permit trading under bounded rationality and dynamic markets Energy Policy, Vol. 148, Art.-Nr. 112009
 doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112009

2020 / Drews, S., F. Exadaktylos and J. van den Bergh
Assessing synergy of incentives and nudges in the energy policy mix Energy Policy, Vol. 144, Art.-Nr. 111605
 doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111605

2020 / Rengs, B., M. Scholz-Wäckerle and J. van den Bergh
Evolutionary macroeconomic assessment of employment and innovation impacts of climate policy packages Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 169, 332-368

pii/S0167268119303749



Florian Wagener

Supervisor IRP 15

Universiteit
an Amsterdam
EPOC Assignments
SUPERVISOR IRP15  / WP2 / WP3
Innovation and sustainable growth

Publications
01 02
2019 / Altaghlibi, M. and F. Wagener
Unconditional aid and green growth Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 105, 158-181
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2019.06.006

2019 / Smrkolj, G. and F. Wagener
Research among copycats: R&D, spillovers, and feedback strategies International Journal of Industrial Organization, Vol. 65, 82-120
 doi.org/10.1016/j.ijindorg.2019.02.002

2017 / Hinloopen, J., G. Smrkolj and F. Wagener
Research and Development Cooperatives and Market Collusion: A Global Dynamic Approach Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 174, 567–612
 10.1007/s10957-017-1133-0

Rick Quax

Co-Supervisor IRP 09

Universiteit
van Amsterdam
EPOC Assignments
CO-SUPERVISOR IRP09  / WP2
Identifying optimal conditions for creating stable future electricity markets

Publications
01 02
2018 / Quax R., G. Chliamovitch, A. Dupuis, J.-L. Falcone , B. Chopard, A.G. Hoekstra  and P. M. A. Sloot 
Information processing features can detect behavioral regimes of dynamical systems Complexity, Vol. 2018, Art.-Nr. 6047846
 a15535f6-df77-4ade-a391-bdcdb9f2feed

2013 / Quax R., A. Apolloni and P.M.A. Sloot 
The diminishing role of hubs in dynamical processes on complex networks Journal of the Royal Society Interface,, Vol. 10(88)
 doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2013.0568

2013 / Quax, R., D. Kandhai and P. M. Sloot
Information dissipation as an early-warning signal for the Lehman Brothers collapse in financial time series Scientific reports, Vol. 3, 1898
 nature.com/articles/srep01898
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