Members

IRP 04
WP1
WP2
WP3

Zhongli
Wang

Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Individual Research Project 04
Bayesian estimation of agent-based models
Research interests:
computational economics; financial market
Publications
01 02
2025 / Zhongli Wang
Heterogeneous Consumers, Firm Competition and the Data Value Chain: An Agent-based Approach

underlying repository data: https://github.com/ZHongli626/Heterog_Consumers_DVC 
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5235196



2022 / Dongshuai Zhao, Zhongli Wang, Florian Schweizer-Gamborino, Didier Sornette
Polytope Fraud Theory

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?ab
underlying repository data



2025 / Dongshuai Zhao, Zhongli Wang, Florian Schweizer-Gamborino, Didier Sornette
Polytope Fraud Theory International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 97
 doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103734

IRP 09
WP2

Martina
Maglicic

Universiteit van Amsterdam (UvA)
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
Individual Research Project 09
Identifying optimal conditions for creating stable future electricity markets
Research interests:
complex systems, public policy, behavioural science.
Publications
2023 / Martina Maglicic, Vitor Vasconcelos
Income inequality in the uptake of environmentally friendly products

ssrn.com/abstract=4424391 / underlying repository data 



2025 / Martina Maglicic, Vítor V. Vasconcelos
Income inequality in the uptake of environmentally friendly products Science Direct, Vol. 28, Issue 4
 doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2025.112277

IRP 03
WP1
WP2

Matthieu
Bulté

Københavns Universitet (UCPH)
Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Individual Research Project 03
Time-series of functional data
Research interests:
time-series, functional data analysis, mathematical statistics.
Publications
01 02
2025 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Isotropic randomization for one-sample testing in metric spaces
arxiv.org/abs/2501.15945

2024 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
An Autoregressive Model for Time Series of Random Objects

arxiv.org/abs/2405.03778
underlying repository data: https://github.com/matthieubulte/GAR



2023 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Medoid splits for efficient random forests in metric spaces

https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.17
underlying repository data:
https://github.com/matthieubulte/MetricRandomFore



2024 / Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Medoid splits for efficient random forests in metric spaces Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Vol. 198
 doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2024.107995

IRP 01
WP1
WP2
WP3

Qingchuan
Sun

Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Københavns Universitet (UCPH)
Individual Research Project 01
Statistical inference for state-space diffusion processes

Research interests:
diffusion process, state-space model and biostatistics.

Publications
2025 / Mads Peter Heide-Jørgensen, Philippine Chambault, Helle Sørensen, Camilla Andresen, Susanne Ditlevsen, Qingchuan Sun
Narwhals document atlantification of East Greenland


2025 / Qingchuan Sun, Susanne Ditlevsen
Robust Parameter Estimation in Dynamical Systems by Stochastic Differential Equations


IRP 05
WP1
WP2

Tommaso
Di Francesco

Universiteit van Amsterdam (UvA)
Università Ca’ Foscari, Venezia (UNIVE)
Individual Research Project 05
Expectation formation and machine learning

Research interests:
behavioral macroeconomics, bounded rationality, expectation formation and machine learning, heterogeneous agent modelling.

Publications
01 02
2025 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Daniel Torren Peraire
(Mis)information diffusion and the financial market
arxiv.org/abs/2412.16269

2023 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Cars Hommes
Sentiment-Driven Speculation in Financial Markets with Heterogeneous Beliefs: a Machine Learning approach

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4429858
underlying repository data:
https://github.com/TommasoDF/Repo https://uvaauas.figshare.com/articles/dataset/BiTSI/25428238/1



2025 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Cars Hommes
Sentiment-driven speculation in financial markets with heterogeneous beliefs: A machine learning approach Journal of Economics Dynamics and Control, Vol. 175
 doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105092

IRP 07
WP2

Rosa
van den Ende

ESR Delegate

Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)
Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Individual Research Project 07
Network-based measures of climate risks and liabilities

Research interests:
game theory, network analysis, microeconomics, allocation models, carbon emissions, climate risk. 

Publications
2023 / Rosa van den Ende, Antoine Mandel, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Network-based allocation of responsibility for GHG-emissions

underlying repository data: 
https://github.com/rosavandenende/Network-based-allocation-of-responsibility-for-GHG-emissions 
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4430393 



IRP 14
WP3

Debmallya
Chanda

Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Individual Research Project 14
Financial innovation and monetary policy in a complex environment
Research interests:
financial innovation, monetary policy, agent-based modeling.
Publications
01 02
2025 / Debmallya Chanda
Depositor-banker relationship and CBDC
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5235006

2025 / Debmallya Chanda
Macro-financial Implications of Introduction of Central Bank Digital Currency
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5234986

2023 / Aldo Glielmo, Marco Favorito, Debmallya Chanda, Domenico Delli Gatti
Combining search strategies to improve performance in the calibration of economic ABMs

arxiv.org/pdf/2302.11835.pdf
underlying repository data: https://github.com/bancaditalia/black-it/blob/main/examples/RL_to_combine_search_methods.ipynb 



2023 / Aldo Glielmo, Marco Favorito, Debmallya Chanda, Domenico Delli Gatt
Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs ICAIF '23: 4th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, 305-313
 doi.org/10.1145/3604237.3626889

IRP 13
WP3

Miquel
Bassart i Lore

Universität Bielefeld (UNIBI)
Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)
Individual Research Project 13
Picking the winners? The role of public investment for technological change
Research interests:
post-keynesian economics & evolutionary economics, non-equilibrium modeling, industrial economics and innovation processes, macroeconomic finance and financial institutions.
Publications
01 02
2025 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Miquel Bassart i Lore
Driving in the wrong direction? A co-evolutionary model of electric vehicle adoption and innovation
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5241949   
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/endogenous_innovation_and_preference_change

2025 / Miquel Bassart i Loré
Mixing innovation policies for low-carbon transitions? An Agent-Based Approach
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5086947
underlying repository data:

https://github.com/Miquel1996/Innovation-Policy-Mix-Design-for-Low-Carbon-Transitions-An-Agent-Based-Approach



2023 / Miquel Bassart i Loré
Green innovation policies in complex landscapes: An agent-based approach

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4434387
underlying repository data: https://github.com/Miquel1996/Innovation-Policy-Mix-Design-for-Low-Carbon-Transitions-An-Agent-Based-Approach 



IRP 12
WP2
WP3

Nurten
Kaynarca

Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Individual Research Project 12
The dynamics of innovation in production networks
Research interests:
microeconomics, industrial economics, network analysis.
Publications
2024 / Nurten Kaynarca, Antoine Mandel
Technological evolution of production networks

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4858873



IRP 10
WP2
WP3

Daniel
Torren Peraire

Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
Università Ca’ Foscari, Venezia (UNIVE)
Individual Research Project 10
Modelling the evolution of low-carbon lifestyles

Research interests:
agent-agent-based modelling, cultural evolution, social networks, climate policy, sustainability transitions, based modelling, cultural evolution, social networks, climate policy, sustainability transitions.

Publications
01 02 03
2025 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Miquel Bassart i Lore
Driving in the wrong direction? A co-evolutionary model of electric vehicle adoption and innovation
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5241949   
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/endogenous_innovation_and_preference_change

2025 / Tommaso Di Francesco, Daniel Torren Peraire
(Mis)information diffusion and the financial market
arxiv.org/abs/2412.16269

2024 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Jeroen van den Bergh, Ivan Savin
The cultural multiplier of climate policy

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5006004
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/The_cultural_multiplier  



2023 / Daniel Torren Peraire, Ivan Savin, Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh
An agent-based model of cultural change for a low-carbon transition
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4344035
underlying repository data: https://github.com/danielTorren/Culture-Network

2024 / Daniel Torren-Peraire, Ivan Savin and Jeroen van den Bergh
An Agent-Based Model of Cultural Change for a Low-Carbon Transition Journal of Artificial Societies ans Social Simulation, 27(1) 13
 https://www.jasss.org/27/1/13.html

IRP 11
WP2
WP3

Elisa
Grugni

Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Individual Research Project 11
Modelling the interaction of information provision and carbon pricing to encourage a low-carbon transition

Research Interests:

agent-based modelling, green ecomomy, global value chains and trade network.

 

Publications
2025 / Elisa Grugni, Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Carbon leakage in production networks under asymmetric climate policies
ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5053379

IRP 15
WP2
WP3

Franziska
Tinnefeld

Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (UCSC)
Universiteit van Amsterdam (UvA)
Individual Research Project 15
Innovation and sustainable growth
Research interests:
economic geography, macroeconomics, international trade, environment and development, innovation and patent data analysis.
Publications
2023 / Franziska Tinnefeld
Decomposing the Effect of GVCs on Innovation
ssrn.com/abstract=4349779
underlying repository data: https://figshare.com/s/1d1800ba9e4ed13d0d1f

2025 / Franziska Tinnefeld, Julia Swart, Elena Fumagalli
The green knowledge space: Climate change mitigation technologies in developing countries Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 55, 100944
 doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2024.100944
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